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Solflare launches on-chain prediction markets on Solana, powered by Kalshi and DFlow, enabling wallet-native event trading.
Author: Tanishq Bodh
December 26, 2025 – Solflare has launched integrated on-chain prediction markets inside its wallet, marking a new step in the convergence of crypto and real-world event trading. The feature went live on December 26, 2025, and allows Solflare’s more than four million users to trade tokenized outcomes directly within the app. Notably, the system runs on Solana and is powered by Kalshi and DFlow. As a result, users can access prediction markets without leaving their wallet.
The launch follows Kalshi’s December 1 move to bring tokenized prediction markets to Solana. Through DFlow’s newly released Prediction Markets API, Kalshi has converted its regulated event contracts into Solana-compatible assets, enabling on-chain trading, composability, and USDC-based settlement.
Initially, the announcement drew strong engagement from the Solana community. Users highlighted the convenience of trading prediction markets natively inside Solflare, without additional fees. Meanwhile, social sentiment echoed the positive reception seen earlier this week when similar functionality rolled out in the Phantom wallet.
Although the launch did not immediately impact token prices, it reinforced Solana’s positioning as a hub for high-frequency, low-cost financial applications. Moreover, industry observers noted that DFlow’s infrastructure already supports more than $33 billion in cumulative trading volume across over 75 applications, lending credibility to the rollout.
However, the expansion also raises regulatory and operational questions. While Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange, tokenized access through wallets blurs the line between traditional compliance frameworks and decentralized distribution. As prediction markets grow in popularity, regulators may scrutinize how these products reach end users.
In addition, critics caution that prediction markets can attract speculative behavior, particularly around political or cultural events. Therefore, long-term sustainability will depend on responsible market design, liquidity depth, and clear user disclosures.
From a technical standpoint, the integration relies on DFlow’s Prediction Markets API, which provides full coverage of Kalshi’s markets. Importantly, the API enables deep on-chain liquidity, composability with DeFi protocols, and flexible redemptions in USDC. This architecture allows Solflare users to trade binary outcomes, such as yes-or-no bets, across categories including sports, politics, crypto milestones, and entertainment.
Solflare emphasized that users can access these markets directly within the wallet they already use, with no extra fees. Furthermore, Kalshi has committed more than $2 million in builder grants to encourage further integrations, with additional platforms and chains expected to follow.
Ultimately, as wallets evolve into full financial hubs, Solflare’s on-chain prediction markets may accelerate mainstream adoption of probabilistic trading on Solana.
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