Bitcoin Breaks 50-Day SMA for First Time Since 2022

November 4, 2025 – Bitcoin has fallen below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the first time since March 2025, signaling potential short-term weakness in an otherwise extended bull run. The world’s largest cryptocurrency trades near $101,000, down 5% in 24 hours, with analysts now watching the $99,000–$100,000 zone as the next major support. The Bitcoin 50-day SMA, currently around $102,200, had served as a key dynamic floor throughout the year, guiding BTC’s rally from $66,000 to record highs above $111,000. Breaking below this trendline suggests short-term momentum has flipped bearish, echoing previous corrections that preceded larger consolidations.

Why the 50-Day SMA Matters for Bitcoin

The Bitcoin 50-day SMA acts as a short-term trend barometer, smoothing recent price action to highlight shifts in market momentum.
During bull runs, BTC tends to stay above this line—each retest offering buying opportunities for swing traders. In 2024 and early 2025, it consistently served as a springboard for new highs.

Now, as BTC closes decisively below it, technical traders interpret this as a signal of fading buying pressure. Historically, similar crossovers—such as those in April 2022 and August 2023—preceded 10–20% pullbacks before new uptrends resumed.

Short-term moving averages like the 50-day often reflect emotional sentiment, making this breakdown an early warning rather than a confirmed reversal. Still, the market’s reaction suggests traders are turning defensive.

Chart Analysis: BTC Faces Its First Real Test in Months

Weekly charts highlight how Bitcoin’s latest candles sliced below the 50-day SMA, turning prior support into resistance. Momentum oscillators such as RSI and have both cooled from overbought levels, while daily volume spikes confirm profit-taking among leveraged traders.