Farm Polymarket in GOD MODE

It’s no secret that the Polymarket TGE will happen in a matter of months, or to be precise, after the platform returns to the U.S. market. For users looking to farm Polymarket early, this period is especially important.

And yes, $POLY will be distributed as an airdrop, and yes again, you probably need to have an active profile on the platform

I often hear that some people are missing out on this because they are afraid to take risks. Since I have been on Polymarket for over a year, I have identified the 5 least risky strategies (they are still risky)

A little of statistics

Currently, there are 1.56M users on the platform, and of course, most of them are bots or inactive accounts

Nevertheless, I would consider that the top 10% of users will be eligible for airdrop, so here are the approximate criteria to do so:

• Number of Trades: 100+
• Trade Volume: $10k+
• Active Days: 20+
• Balance: $500+
• Realized Profit: $100+

Strategies to Farm Polymarket

Now that the goal has been set, it remains to decide on a strategy to achieve it

I won’t talk about abstract strategies or high-risk ones, only those that I use and those where the gambling is minimized

Low risk markets (Farm Polymarket steadily)

The profitability of this method can vary from 3% to 10%, and its main essence is to place bets on events where the outcome is practically obvious (it can never be completely obvious)

This works best with events such as “What price will {asset} hit in {month}?”

A few days before the end, you can bet on the outcome that will occur if there are no force majeure circumstances and get 2-5% on your bet

This strategy can also be applied to special events where the outcome is very likely, such as in the case of “Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?”

On December 1, they will launch a new campaign that will clearly last at least 2-4 weeks. Plus, they will need time to prepare for the TGE. Not to mention that no one has canceled the next two seasons of Yaprun

In general, the probability of this event occurring is lower than estimated on Polymarket

Cross market balancing

The essence of this approach is to earn money on the difference in the outcomes of identical events, where one market entails the outcome of another (or simply has a great similarity)

In the screenshots below, you can see almost identical events with the same dates, where you can buy No in the one that is more expensive or Yes in the one that is cheaper

With this approach, you don’t even have to wait for the outcome, the spread between the markets may equal, and you can sell your position

All three markets have the same context but different degrees of outcome, and in addition to spread equalization, the one position can also be hedged against the other two (or two against one)

Prediction markets arbitrage

This approach involves earning money on the spread between prediction market platforms on identical markets

The essence is the same: you can earn money on the outcome of an event or on the spread equalization

For example, let’s take the markets “Presidential Election Winner 2028” on Polymarket and “Next US Presidential Election Winner?” on Kalshi

There is a 2% gap between platforms, and for some events it can be even greater, so you can earn a few percent simply by equalizing the spread

News sniping

History shows that there is quite a long time between the announcement of news and the probability on Polymarket becomes 100%

If you follow certain events and are ready to place a bet at the right time, you can make a good profit

Here’s an example of how it works:

– “Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?”

Follow the project’s social media accounts and monitor the U.S. platform

– “Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?”

Follow the project’s social media accounts and Discord server (+ you can check new subdomains)

50% markets

This method is less about earning money and more about your account statistics (airdrop farming, if you prefer)

Since no crypto project encourages multi accounting, you will need the account of a friend/brother/mother/cat

The point is to bet Yes and No on an event with a 50% probability and make positive statistics without losing money (only on fees)