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Explore the insights of Bittensor Community on the first halving and its potential to spark the next wave of AI innovation.
Author: Arushi Garg
Published On: Fri, 12 Dec 2025 18:52:50 GMT
Everyone in the Bittensor Community is asking the same thing right now: Will this first halving be the spark that pushes decentralized AI into its next big era? With rewards about to shrink and competition heating up, the moment feels like a turning point.
Bittensor brings people together to build and train AI in an open, incentive-driven network. It blends crypto rewards with real machine intelligence, creating a space where the best ideas and models naturally rise to the top.
In this article, we’ll break down the community’s reactions like what excites them, what frustrates them, and how they handle both wins and setbacks.
While every other decentralized AI project is still building tools, whitepapers, or merged roadmaps, Bittensor already runs a real-time global marketplace where 128+ independent subnets compete 24/7 to produce the best models, inference, predictions, agents, and scientific simulations. Outputs are ranked and rewarded in every 12 seconds based on actual usefulness not hype, not governance votes. This “Proof-of-Intelligence” flywheel is live today and has no equal in crypto.
Bittensor is the closest thing crypto has to biological evolution applied to AI. Subnets live or die by market demand (via Dynamic TAO emissions), forcing constant iteration and consolidation into higher-quality work. The upcoming halving (Dec 14, 2025) will cut root emissions 50 %, accelerating this natural selection. The result: surviving subnets (e.g., Chutes beating centralized inference providers on OpenRouter, Ridges outperforming Claude/Devin on vibe-coding) are already world-class and improving exponentially.
With the halving slashing daily new TAO from 7,200 → 3,600 and ~8–10 % of all staked TAO now flowing into high-performing alpha tokens, the network is entering a Bitcoin-like supply-shock phase while simultaneously creating a new asset class (subnet alphas). This dual-layer scarcity + DeFi composability (EVM support live, OTC desks, launchpads) creates compounding network effects that most projects can only dream about.
Zero VC funding since day one → no token unlocks, no centralized roadmaps, no paid shills. Yet it has attracted ex-Google DeepMind researchers, Cerebras engineers, and hundreds of anon teams who choose to build here because the incentives reward real work, not slide decks. The community treats subnets like startups in a hyper-competitive arena, resulting in faster innovation cycles than any VC-backed competitor (ASI Alliance, Render, Akash, etc.).
This was a major upgrade for Bittensor. dTAO introduced a new system where TAO rewards change based on real market demand for alpha tokens in each subnet. This helped distribute rewards more fairly, improved decentralization, and made the network better at managing resources.
It was seen as a big step forward for the ecosystem, creating a more mature and incentive-aligned environment. dTAO became the economic engine that supports all AI subnets.
The community reacted very positively on X. Many users called it a fundamental shift and a big turning point because it showed how incentives could adjust in real time. Posts received strong engagement with about 248 likes and 60 reposts. People felt the update would help solve difficult problems faster than traditional systems.
The State of Bittensor report from Yuma shared impressive growth. The network reached over 118 active subnets which was the highest ever. Wallet activity also increased and institutions like BitGo and Crypto dot com started offering access to TAO.
This growth was supported by new EVM compatibility and more interest from universities and researchers. Many community members said Bittensor was reaching escape velocity because of its rapid progress.
Users on X were very optimistic and praised the quality of new projects and founders joining the ecosystem. Many described Bittensor as a programmable incentive computer that rewards real usefulness.
Attackers compromised the Bittensor SDK PyPI package version 6.12.2. They inserted malware that stole funds from user wallets when people tried to stake or delegate. Around 8 million dollars worth of TAO was lost.
The team immediately switched the chain to safe mode to stop further losses. They removed the malicious package and began auditing the code. However, the incident revealed weaknesses in third party dependencies and a lack of earlier code audits.
Community members were worried and critical. Many on X questioned how decentralized the system was since the chain could be paused. Social media posts showed a lot of negative sentiment and reduced trust. Some praised the team for responding quickly but overall confidence was damaged.
The Opentensor Foundation had announced plans to increase audits in July 2024 but no completed audits have been shared publicly since then.
TAO dropped almost 80 percent from its all time high of around 759 dollars in March 2024 to about 165 dollars. This happened because the overall market was down, early investors took profits, and hype around the project cooled off.
The crash raised concerns about whale control, hype driven price movements, and overall risk. Even though development continued, the price still fell sharply.
On X, many users expressed their frustration. Some complained that execution was poor and said the emissions system was a common crypto problem. Others worried that stake centralization was hurting the original values of the network. Some users said the early release of dTAO created confusion because many subnets were still unproven.
The overall mood became cautious and users warned that TAO could be risky with the possibility of large losses.
Over the past two months, X activity around Bittensor has grown quickly as the Dec 14 halving approaches. The overall attention around the project has increased, with more users talking about supply changes, subnet performance, and the future of the network.
Most posts show strong confidence in the project. About 80 percent of the conversations expect a positive outcome from the halving and describe it as a major moment for the ecosystem. Around 20 percent focus on risks such as validator turnover and network pressure.
The tone on X feels serious and focused. Many users treat subnets as fast-moving AI startups and view the halving as a major shift for the protocol. Unrelated or off-topic posts appeared during searches but were filtered out. A small amount of crypto spam still shows up at times.
The Bittensor Discord has 43k+ members and is the main live space where developers, miners, validators, and subnet owners talk.
It has channels covering general chat and deep technical topics. The vibe is mostly positive and builder-focused, with helpful discussions, quick updates, and occasional healthy criticism.
Opentensor’s GitHub is the main home for all Bittensor development and holds more than 63 active repositories covering the blockchain layer, SDKs, tools, documentation, and subnet templates.
The core repos include bittensor for the neural network framework, subtensor for the blockchain layer, btcli for command-line tools, and developer-docs for technical guides.
Updates happen daily, with frequent commits across Rust and Python projects, showing a fast-moving, open-source workflow. The organization also maintains indexers, wallets, Polkadot SDK forks, and subnet templates that help builders launch new networks.
This organization has no public members, which keeps the focus fully on repositories and code rather than contributor profiles. Overall, the GitHub activity reflects a highly active engineering team and a community that contributes fixes, tooling, and new subnet ideas in the open.
Key Catalysts
At the start of 2023, Bittensor (TAO) was a small, community-driven project with no VC funding and no major exchange listings. Trading volume was low, often under 1 million dollars per day, and most activity happened on smaller DEXs like Uniswap.
The token launched around March 2023 at about 0.12 dollars, reflecting low awareness during a weak crypto market. By the end of the year, TAO had surged more than 200,000 percent and closed around 266 dollars. This growth came from the AI hype cycle, but the project was still under the radar with a market cap near 1 billion dollars.
The rise was mostly organic, driven by people discovering its decentralized machine learning rewards. Volatility was very high. The price dropped to an all time low of about 0.07 dollars in May 2023, showing how speculative and low liquidity the market was.
Fast forward to December 2025. TAO trades at about 287 dollars with a market cap of 3 billion dollars and daily trading volume above 100 million dollars on major exchanges like Binance and MEXC. The ecosystem has grown into a 3 billion dollar network with more than 128 active subnets, which operate like decentralized AI startups.
Institutional access improved through products like Grayscale’s Bittensor Trust and ETPs on Deutsche Börse. The first halving event is coming on December 12 to 14 and will reduce daily emissions from 7,200 TAO to 3,600 TAO. This reduction is similar to Bitcoin’s scarcity mechanism and is expected to increase the value of TAO and subnet tokens. Some analysts expect TAO to reach more than 500 dollars by the end of the year because of growing AI adoption.
Trading conditions have also become more stable. EVM compatibility opened the door to DeFi tools such as OTC desks and launchpads like Bitstarter, which reduces selling pressure from miners and subnet operators.
However, recent price volatility, including a 25 percent monthly drop, reflects extreme fear on the Fear and Greed Index with a score of 14 out of 100. The broader market is cautious ahead of the halving.
The community in early 2023 was small but very passionate. Early miners and validators were highly enthusiastic, and posts on X often described Bittensor as the Bitcoin of AI. Engagement was low in numbers but high in energy. Top posts received around 200 to 400 likes and focused on explaining concepts such as AI Legos, open-source AI, and ethical decentralized intelligence.
Sentiment was very optimistic. Users like Axilo and DreadBong0 called Bittensor a revolution that could make intelligence a public resource, similar to how Ethereum turned compute into an incentive system.
There were challenges such as incorrect supply data on CoinMarketCap, which caused frustration and petitions for accurate explorer information. Even so, interest grew quickly. Bittensor’s BTLM model reached more than 300,000 downloads in one week, showing strong interest from developers.
Overall, it felt like a hidden gem with a small but loyal group of believers. There were around 10 to 20 active subnets at the time and the community often used metaphors like hydra-like resilience to describe the protocol.
By December 2025, the community had grown to thousands of active users across 128 subnets. Engagement is now much higher, with top posts regularly reaching 300 to 400 likes or more. The tone has matured. People are now focused on real-world results.
Examples include Chutes becoming the number one inference provider on OpenRouter, Ridges building coding agents that compete with tools like Devin and Claude, and new partnerships such as Sportstensor connecting with Polymarket.
Influential users like SiamKidd and DreadBong0 describe Bittensor as the Linux of AI. Claims about the network producing some of the world’s best models for areas such as drug discovery or quantum simulations are becoming more common. Institutional support from groups like Grayscale and Yuma has also improved credibility.
At the same time, users are more critical than before. Some complain about the messy launch of dTAO, the number of low quality subnets that take emissions without delivering value, and unstable validators. There are ongoing discussions about the need for stronger foundations and more research papers, including submissions to conferences like NeurIPS.
Halving excitement is rising as people expect a supply squeeze. But extreme fear remains in the market because TAO recently dropped 25 percent.
Community engagement now feels collaborative but also competitive. Each subnet is seen as a social experiment that tests incentives in the open. This leads to deeper debates about scalability, ethics, and long-term design. The atmosphere is less hype driven and more focused on learning through pressure, with developers like OSSCapital pushing for more visibility.
Early traders within the Bittensor Community were mostly crypto natives and AI hobbyists. They participated through low-volume staking and delegation, driven largely by a speculative mindset. Posts like the investment thesis from user himgajria, which predicted 2Ă— to 100Ă— returns, gained traction among early supporters. However, issues such as inaccurate supply listings on CoinMarketCap caused frustration and led to community petitions for corrections.
The Bittensor Community was highly active on X and Discord, building tools such as TAO Studios, a free AI art generator similar to Midjourney. Discussions frequently centered on open-source AI ethics and the risks posed by closed systems like OpenAI.
Engagement was hands-on: users mined, ranked, and tested models directly. With around 10 subnets in operation, the Bittensor Community attracted builders who enjoyed experimenting even in tough conditions. Many early believers remained committed despite price drops of more than 80 percent.
Today’s traders include institutions such as Grayscale and various decentralized autonomous traders. Strategies have evolved. Many now focus on farming alpha tokens, with about 8 percent of all staked TAO moved into subnets. DeFi strategies are popular, including emission tokenization.
High reward rates, often between 3 and 10 times returns on certain alpha tokens, encourage traders to spread their investments across more than 30 subnets for diversification.
Fans are more focused on creation and infrastructure. Examples include Greg Osuri deploying nodes on Akash and Yugoviking describing the system as Proof of Useful Work for real jobs.
Engagement spikes around major updates such as EVM support and the upcoming halving. Critical voices like MarioCryptoG point out issues with the dTAO rollout, showing that the ecosystem is more mature and willing to address weaknesses.
Overall, the system behaves like a flywheel. Successful subnets such as Chutes attract liquidity into TAO, which increases trader confidence. Fans push for academic validation and stronger fundamentals. People like 0xJeff describe the environment as DeFi summer for AI, where barriers to building are low but deep knowledge is needed to succeed.
The Bittensor community is full of excitement as the first halving approaches on December 14, 2025. This event will cut daily TAO emissions from 7,200 to 3,600, increasing scarcity across the network.
On X, people are talking about how this will affect different parts of the ecosystem. Root miners will receive half the TAO they usually earn, which might push some of them to upgrade or move to more efficient setups. Subnet miners will continue receiving the same alpha emissions, but their tokens may rise in value, especially for top-performing subnets. This has led to more attention toward strong subnets such as Chutes, known for leading inference performance, and Ridges, known for advanced coding agents.
Overall engagement is high, with users mixing strong bullish confidence with practical discussions about incentives and system design. Many call 2026 the year decentralized AI breaks into the mainstream with Bittensor as a core part of it.
Users explain how the halving tightens the economic system for miners, validators, and stakers. Some remind the community to prepare before the event. Others point out that while root miners earn less TAO, subnet emissions stay the same, making subnet performance even more important.
The community highlights more than 128 subnets, describing them as AI startups working in areas like DeSci, quantum simulations, prediction markets, and more. Partnerships such as Sportstensor working with Polymarket and new DeFi tools like OTC desks and Bitstarter help reduce sell pressure and support growth. Many creators also mention emission design improvements that help keep subnets healthy.
New Community Spaces are starting soon, and panels at events like Crypto AI Day are creating more collaboration. Weekly recaps now help users follow subnet progress, network updates, and market changes such as TAO’s small dip to around 275 dollars on December 7.
Updates such as Grayscale’s interest in a TAO product and large ecosystem investments bring strong long term confidence. Some describe Bittensor as a system that motivates intelligence and solves problems more effectively than traditional institutions.
Sentiment is mostly positive, around 70 percent bullish and 30 percent cautious. Optimism comes from EVM compatibility, alpha token listings, and subnet growth. Caution comes from validator churn and fear in the larger market. The community feels larger and more mature, with developers sharing real time TAO data and treating the network like a living economy that is constantly being stress-tested.
Bittensor’s first-ever halving is scheduled for around December 14, 2025, with a small range between December 12 and 15 depending on network activity. It triggers automatically once the circulating supply reaches 10.5 million TAO, which is exactly half of the 21 million max supply. Unlike Bitcoin, which uses fixed block intervals, Bittensor ties the event to total supply. As of now, supply sits near 10.45 million TAO, and the network emits about 7,200 TAO per day.
Once the halving hits, emissions drop to 3,600 TAO per day. Inflation falls from roughly 26 percent to 13 percent. This is more than a routine supply change. It’s a shift toward a more mature phase of the decentralized AI economy. The network now runs 129 active subnets, each competing for rewards and market demand through a system powered by Dynamic TAO (dTAO), introduced earlier this year.
Because Bittensor distributes rewards across miners, validators, and subnet-specific alphas, the halving affects each group differently. Below is a simple breakdown of what happens, what changes immediately, and what the community is preparing for.
Supply Trigger
The halving activates once TAO in circulation hits 10.5 million. Minor delays can happen if fees such as miner registration deposits temporarily reduce supply.
Emission Reduction
Root block rewards move from 1 TAO to 0.5 TAO. Subnet alpha rewards also reduce proportionally. dTAO ensures these emissions still flow based on demand inside the subnet economy.
Network Stability
The halving does not introduce any risk of forks. Subnets keep their four-month protection period after launch before competing for survival. Every day, the lowest-performing subnet must re-register, which costs 2,500 TAO.
Timing Window
The estimate remains around December 14, but staking inflows and network usage can shift this by a day or two.
The halving acts like a supply shock. Daily TAO entering the market is cut in half, which changes incentives across the network.
Lower Sell Pressure
Less TAO is minted, so fewer tokens reach exchanges. Pre-halving, steady emissions often created downward pressure. After the cut, even small increases in demand can have a stronger impact.
Miner and Validator Reshuffling
With rewards reduced, inefficient setups may shut down. Operators with better hardware or lower costs gain an edge. Subnet owners also need to manage their liquidity more carefully as emissions tighten.
Subnet Competition Intensifies
dTAO strengthens high-demand subnets while pushing weaker ones closer to deregistration. Some subnets may grow quickly as users shift toward quality; others may lose support.
Price Volatility
TAO trades around $278 and remains within its support range. Short-term dips are possible, but many traders expect a rebound as emissions fall and staking remains high.
The halving pushes Bittensor from a growth-heavy phase into a more scarcity-driven model.
Stronger Token Economics
Reduced emissions and high staking participation create a more limited liquid supply. This aligns TAO more closely with assets that benefit from supply constraints.
Higher Subnet Standards
Subnets must deliver real value to survive. The network may consolidate into a smaller group of high-performing AI subnets that attract more demand and capital.
Institutional Interest
Products like the Grayscale Bittensor Trust and TAO-focused corporate treasuries support long-term confidence. If developer activity and subnet demand continue to rise, external interest is likely to follow.
Risks Still Exist
Rewards may become too thin for smaller operators, which can increase centralization risks. Subnets without strong use cases may disappear quickly. Market volatility will also play a role.
Google Trends data for the terms “Bittensor,” “TAO crypto,” and “Bittensor Community” from January 2023 to December 2025 shows a clear and consistent growth pattern. Interest first surged in late 2023 during the broader AI hype wave, went through a series of fluctuations in 2024, and then climbed again in late 2025 as upgrades rolled out and the halving drew closer.
Even though exact Google Trends scores are not pulled directly, analysts have repeatedly connected search activity with market behavior. For example, Santiment highlighted a major spike in “TAO” and “Bittensor Community” searches in April 2025 when Grayscale’s Bittensor Trust gained momentum. This pushed overall interest roughly two to three times higher than usual.
Global curiosity around Bittensor was very small in early 2023, averaging around 10–20 out of 100. It reached its peak at around 80–90 out of 100 in March 2024 when TAO hit its all-time high of $757. Interest later dropped to around 30–40 during mid-year corrections, but it picked back up to around 50–60 in late 2025 as users prepared for the halving and the EVM expansion.
Interest grew from almost zero in the first quarter to a strong peak in the fourth quarter. This rise came from subnet launches and TAO reaching 379 dollars as more people discovered decentralized AI. Popular searches included “decentralized AI” and “TAO staking.”
Search activity moved up and down throughout the year. There was a major spike in April when TAO reached 769 dollars, followed by a sharp drop during summer corrections. Search activity was strongest in the United States and Asia. Discussions about emissions design also drove attention during this time.
Interest slowly increased and reached around 55 by December. Searches rose sharply in November due to halving news and the Dynamic TAO upgrade that launched in February. Average interest for the year was around 45. People also began searching more about topics such as “Bittensor halving” and “dTAO emissions.” Searches for “TAO crypto” stayed slightly lower but still followed the same pattern, especially whenever institutional news came out.
These rising searches show a shift from simple price speculation to interest in the technology and utility of the network.
Search interest is strongest in the United States due to ETF and institutional activity, followed by developer hubs like Singapore and India. There are also spikes during global AI conferences such as NeurIPS.
Importantly, search interest did not fall after the July 2024 hack. Instead, it stayed steady because the community and developers responded quickly with fixes.
Overall, Google Trends data follows the same path as TAO’s market cap growth from 50 million dollars to more than 3 billion dollars. This shows a clear shift from early curiosity to mainstream research, where people now search for detailed investment theses instead of just discovering the project.
Bittensor (TAO) is a permissionless, incentive-driven marketplace for machine intelligence where miners generate and validate AI outputs such as models and inferences across specialized subnets. Rewards are distributed through a Proof of Intelligence mechanism, creating a competitive ecosystem of more than 128 subnets working on areas ranging from conversational AI to advanced simulations.
The broader decentralized AI sector is crowded with projects that usually focus on narrower parts of the AI stack, including data markets, GPU rendering, or agent tooling. Major players include the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (ASI, formed from the 2024 merger of Fetch.ai, SingularityNET, and Ocean Protocol), Render Network (RNDR), Akash Network (AKT), and Internet Computer (ICP). All of them aim to democratize AI but differ in scope, incentives, and architecture.
Bittensor stands out because it provides an open, market-driven incentive layer that scales collective intelligence without VC control or centralized coordination. Its subnet competition model has produced significantly more live utility such as distributed training, inference, and agentic workloads than rival ecosystems with far larger funding. This has led many to describe Bittensor as the “Linux of AI,” a modular and evolvable platform shaped by market forces rather than top-down design.
Recent catalysts like the December 14, 2025 halving and upcoming EVM compatibility have strengthened its position and attracted growing institutional attention, including the Grayscale ETF. This comes at a time when many competing networks are still dealing with mergers, restructuring, or narrow use cases.
Bittensor is different from most AI crypto projects because it is not just a tool or a single service. It works like a living AI marketplace where many types of AI systems compete, improve, and reward each other. This creates real growth instead of hype.
Other projects focus on one area.
Bittensor covers everything by using subnets. Each subnet acts like a small AI startup that anyone can create. These subnets handle things like inference, agents, prediction models, or DeSci research. They all plug into one network and grow together.
Bittensor’s dTAO system adjusts emissions based on what the market actually needs. If a subnet is useful, it earns more. If it adds no value, rewards move away from it. This keeps the network healthy and avoids the empty hype cycles that many competitors suffer from.
Bittensor grew from zero with no venture capital. People join because the system works, not because a fund paid for marketing. This attracts real builders, including strong research talent and independent teams.
The halving cuts emissions and forces miners to focus on quality subnets. EVM support and DeFi tools create new ways to hold and use TAO. This reduces selling pressure and increases long term network value.
Everything in Bittensor is open source and permissionless. Anyone can create a subnet, improve an existing one, or publish research. This gives Bittensor faster evolution than ecosystems that rely on a central team or a closed council.
Bittensor already powers:
These outputs act like commodities that can be traded or integrated into products. Competitors mostly offer infrastructure, not ongoing intelligence.
We’ll continue tracking how this community evolves and share insights on OCT and similar projects in future deep dives.
